Wednesday, 20 January 2016

The Stop And Reverse Trade Signals For Year 2016

This is about a plan in publishing the stop and reverse trade signals for the whole year 2016 without giving a single comment and also without taking into any unforeseen circumstances. They will be "much" delayed trade signals but may probably help our 101indicators traders to have their own mind-mapping trading rhythms and soul searching for the right disciplines in finding out their most comfortable technical trend indicators.

As you could see in the last THREE months in year 2014 and year 2015 where we wrote the stop and reverse trade signals using different technical trend indicators, we will try our very best in doing the same for the whole full year in 2016 for readers traders to digest on a technical trend indicator but no updated comments. Read the old posts to familiarize yourselves about our write-ups.

Just keep coming back to see whether we post up any trade signal in finding the right momentum or not.

Remember - data collection, fear and greed, multiple losing trades in achieving trading success! Be a disciplined trader. You must have lifelong interest in the market observation on CPO Futures if you wish to be 101indicators traders, Take your time on IDEA it, MODEL it and followed by ANALYSE it then TEST it and FINE TUNE it.

The Stop And Reverse Trade Signals For Year 2016 for a technical trend indicator with ALL the longs and shorts will be published here (expectation: 50 to 70 stop and reverse trades):
  1. Long 2426 +39 (against the short in December 2015)
  2. Short 2434 +8
  3. Long 2455 -21
  4. Short 2361 +7
  5. Long 2475 -14
  6. Short 
  7. Long 
  8. Short 
  9. Long 
  10. Short 
  11. Long
  12. Short
  13. Long
  14. Short
  15. Long
  16. Short
Year 2016 Accumulated Profit and Loss = ___ (will only be updated after the first quarter or sum it up yourselves from the above longs and shorts)







Thursday, 31 December 2015

The Summary Of 101indicators Yearly Performance 2015

This year is a drubbing year for one technical trend indicator under the data collection of 101indicators On Futures Trading with over 150 (amendment : 118 not 150) stop and reverse trade signals. It generates less than 30% yearly rate of return based on the $20,000 risk capital ratio.

One interesting observation... the last 3 years in a row, every last quarter, the Q4, hit with red. In year 2013, the Q4 incurred 121 ticks of losses. In year 2014, the Q4 incurred 60 ticks of losses. In this year 2015, the Q4 incurred over 200 ticks of losses ( if no sell signal today! ). Year 2013 was a moderate year but 2014 was a good year, and readers traders can find the results in the old posts since profit is not an important issue to discuss here.

With a conservative $20,000 risk capital per contract size basis as mentioned in this blog, the 220 ticks losses in November would make traders facing more than 25% losses from the risk capital. There was one technical trend indicator incurred total 439 ticks losses in two months (October and November), and it had more than 50% losses from the $20,000 risk capital. How will readers traders feel if you only use $10,000 as risk capital? Fear not and still Greed?

No doubt they all generated profits when we summarized them from the monthly accumulated profit and loss table, can readers traders follow them year after year? One of technical trend indicators that made more than 1200 ticks this year but what about previous years and next year 2016 onwards?

Last but not least, we have done our best in this CPO Futures blog by telling readers traders about data collection, fear and greed, and the most important technical jargon... Multiple Losing Trades. This is more important than profit because once you are able to manage your losses, you will have no worry on profits in accumulating wealth as long as your technical trend indicators have proven yearly track records.

Recap: technical trend trading is 30/70 game that is less than 30 percent profit trades while more than 70 percent losing trades that can really stress traders. Thus, can you take such a pressure especially on the 70% losing trades or even more?

Happy And Prosperous New Year 2016.  

Tuesday, 15 December 2015

Trading Plan 16th to 31st December 2015

Is historical chart pattern always repeating itself?

Source: Telequote CPO Futures Monthly Chart
Of course, past performance is no guarantee of future results, but all technical trend indicators back-testing depend on the past performance data can find future results??? Will you believe it???

Tell your broker (just joking!!!) - This year is a broker's year since you have probably generated a lot of stop and reverse trades for him/her than what you have made. It is believed that the brokerage has taken more than half of the profit.

We will publish the yearly performance on the last trading day of December 2015 while this post is for the December 2015.

Just keep coming back to this post as we will only publish new stop and reverse trade signals in this post only.

We have an "artificial" over 70 ticks spread, and profit that will not be recorded in the Monthly Accumulated Profit and Loss data due to the change of contract month! So, just take it for shopping like what we mentioned in November! It can also be the bonus for year 2015 with over 100 ticks in total for 2 months!

===

We will just publish the stop and reverse trade signals here in this two weeks without any comments, be them delayed trade signals or not:

December's stop and reverse trade signals:

1st - Sell 2330 profit 30 ticks (2/12/2015, off 2375 highest)
2st - Long 2343 loss 13 ticks (3/12/2015, off 2317 lowest)
3rd - Sell 2358 profit 15 ticks (10/12/2015, off 2438 highest)
4th - Long 2396 loss 38 ticks (11/12/2015, off 2350 lowest)
5th - Sell 2394 loss 2 ticks (15/12/2015, off 2442 highest)
6th - Long 2426 loss 32 ticks (16/12/2015, off 2324 lowest, 50 ticks Go Shopping!)
7th - Sell 2379 loss 47 ticks (17/12/2015, off 2431 highest)
8th - Long 2389 loss 10 ticks (18/12/2015, off 2369 lowest)
9th - Sell 2384 loss 5 ticks (18/12/2015, off 2390 highest)
10th - Long 2391 loss 7 ticks (18/12/2015, off 2379 lowest)
(if there is no sell signal at 31/12/2015, the profit and loss of Long 2391 will only be recorded in year 2016.)

Monthly Accumulated P & L @ -109 ticks per contract size basis (as of 2389 price).

Tuesday, 1 December 2015

Trading Plan 1st to 15th December 2015

As we do not wish to keep publishing new posts in this December as what readers traders could read in the previous two over months, we will probably write TWO posts for all the stop and reverse trade signals and the profit and loss table for December before summarizing the performance for year 2015.

Remember the data collection, fear and greed, multiple losing trades? Be it a delayed stop and reverse trade signals given in this blog based on the 101indicators trading guides, we wish all readers traders have good learning experience from this CPO Futures Blog that we have tried our very best to tell you in finding a trading rhythm for yourselves while searching for trading success from technical trend indicators.

Just keep coming back to this post as we will only publish new updates in this post only.

We will post all the December stop and reverse trade signals at the bottom in this post. One thing for sure, we have the worst monthly accumulated profit and loss data in November and probably also for the yearly performance especially since the 2008 crisis.

So, let's wait and see what will be the result when the year 2015 is over!

The long 2300 in November, as mentioned in the previous post, will have its stop and reverse trade in December and therefore the profit and loss will be recorded in December only.

Focus on the long 2300 until we see the next stop and reverse sell trade signal.

===

(3/12/2015 @ 1135pm ) The short 2330 cut loss turn long 2343 and therefore we have the 2nd stop and reverse trade signal now as readers traders can see below.

(8/12/2015 @ 1115am) The long 2343 had reached the high 2438 yesterday and we do not have any stop and reverse sell trade signal yet. Thus, just holding on the long 2343 until you see the next trade signal that will be given at the bottom of this post.

(8/12/2015 @ 505pm) If cpo futures price is closed below 2377 at 6pm, the long 2343 will have to do a stop and reverse sell trade. Let's wait and see what is the closing price!

(9/12/2015 @ 225pm) The long 2343 is having stop and reverse sell trade signal higher and higher since it did not turn sell signal at 6pm yesterday. We will only post the new stop and reverse sell trade signal once we have it, or else, we will put an early trade figures before the 6pm close for readers traders to digest.

(9/12/2015 @ 5pm) Sell if 6pm close below 2384 which mean the long 2343 have to take profit turn sell if cpo futures price is closed 2383 or lower at 6pm in about one hour time from now.

(10/12/2015 @ 1133am) We have the 3rd stop and reverse trade signal. The long 2343 had finally turned sell signal at 2358, off from the highest level 2438.

(10/12/2015 @ 255pm) MPOB November production 1.653mt, stock 2.908mt, export 1.499mt as compared to MPOB October production 2.037mt, stock 2.834mt, export 1.712mt.

(11/12/2015 @ 1135am) We had the 4th stop and reverse trade signal and it is a losing trade. Focus on the long 2396 now.

source: RHB report on MPOB data 
(15/12/2015 @ 925am) Today is the last day for this post and we will start a new post tomorrow for the second half for December trading. We will copy the stop and reverse trade signals to the new post too.

Change of contract month with big gap is always an issue but we will no longer discuss it again, new readers traders are advised to read those old posts in finding the story on big gap on contract months.

(15/12/2015 @ 1135am) We have the 5th stop and reverse trade signal today. Just read the below stop and reverse trade signals.

===

December's stop and reverse trade signals:

1st - Sell 2330 profit 30 ticks (2/12/2015, off 2375 highest)
2st - Long 2343 loss 13 ticks (3/12/2015, off 2317 lowest)
3rd - Sell 2358 profit 15 ticks (10/12/2015, off 2438 highest)
4th - Long 2396 loss 38 ticks (11/12/2015, off 2350 lowest)
5th - Sell 2394 loss 2 ticks (15/12/2015, off 2442 highest)

Monthly Accumulated P & L @ -8 ticks per contract size basis (as of the short 2394).

Monday, 30 November 2015

Last Trading Day Of November 2015

As what we did in the last trading day of October 2015, we wish to list down again in the last trading day of November 2015 for readers traders to digest and keep them as a reference for future researches.

Here is the table of Long and Short with profit and loss based on per contract size basis, and we will amend it again if there is a stop and reverse trade signal at the end of 6pm Monday today.








SAR s/L Price P&L Notes

1 s 2328 -34 Oct trade recorded in Nov.

2 L 2345 -17 Multiple Losing Trades !!!

3 s 2345 0 Multiple Losing Trades !!!

4 L 2362 -17 Multiple Losing Trades !!!

5 s 2345 -17 Multiple Losing Trades !!!

6 L 2330 15 Exclude the extra 50 ticks rollover bonus!

7 s 2306 -24 Multiple Losing Trades !!!

8 L 2319 -13 Multiple Losing Trades !!!

9 s 2281 -38 Multiple Losing Trades !!!

10 L 2301 -20 Multiple Losing Trades !!!

11 s 2283 -18 Multiple Losing Trades !!!

12 L 2299 -16 Multiple Losing Trades !!!

13 s 2289 -10 Multiple Losing Trades !!!

14 L 2300 -11 Multiple Losing Trades !!!







Don't be afraid to follow technical trend trading if you have done your homework well - data collection.

Don't be afraid and shy to find all the losses since you need to know how much losses you may face, such a big pressure, especially in multiple losing trades - enjoy the fear and greed!

After making a stop and reverse trade, please sit down and sit tight, read and read again, think and think again then write down all important words in your diary - especially multiple losing trades!

Keep doing your data collection year after year and you will find something good in technical trend trading system.

What is the monthly accumulated profit for the month of November? Calculate yourselves from the above table. Answer is.....................220 ticks of losses if there is no stop and reverse trade on Monday today!!!

Focus the long 2300 which we believe that it will most likely be carried forward to December, and its profit and loss will only be recorded in December too, not in November.

Read the page xi in the 101indicators On Futures Trading book.
New readers traders on indicator Y are advised to view the Learning Corner first. We try our best to post every stop and reverse trade signal ONE hour in advance if there is a clear indicative price. Otherwise, hold on the trades accordingly as given in the title of the posts.

Read the old articles from September 2014 and also the 40s articles in 101indicators.blogspot.com from the beginning will help new readers traders to familiarize yourselves what we are talking about. Go to cpyeoh.blogspot.com in finding the past of "CPO Futures Local".

Those who have 101indicators On Futures Trading book, you have extra thing to compare, read them and you will find your trading rhythm in trading success.

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